Probably Football

Matches

Eliteserien (Norway)

Sunday 25 October, 11:00

Final score

Kristiansund BK2-2KFUM Oslo

The model gave this result 25%. Its most likely result was a KFUM Oslo win (46%).

Kristiansund BK vs KFUM Oslo

  1. Kristiansund BK29%
  2. Draw25%
  3. KFUM Oslo46%

1.09 expected goals for Kristiansund BK

1.57 expected goals for KFUM Oslo

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

KFUM Oslo has the edge (46%), but not by much: a draw is at 25% and a Kristiansund BK win at 29%. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%. And about 10.6 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals75%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals56%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals28%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals13%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.6 expected

5.8 for Kristiansund BK and 4.8 for KFUM Oslo

  1. Over 8.5 corners67%
  2. Over 9.5 corners57%
  3. Over 10.5 corners47%

Cards

3.5 expected

1.6 for Kristiansund BK and 1.9 for KFUM Oslo

  1. Over 3.5 cards45%
  2. Over 4.5 cards27%
  3. Over 5.5 cards14%

Shots

29.1 expected

16.8 for Kristiansund BK and 12.3 for KFUM Oslo

  1. Over 20.5 shots88%
  2. Over 22.5 shots80%
  3. Over 24.5 shots71%

Fouls

23.9 expected

11.1 for Kristiansund BK and 12.8 for KFUM Oslo

  1. Over 20.5 fouls73%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls59%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls44%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.