Sunday 25 October, 11:00
Final score
Ham-Kam0-3Rosenborg
The model's most likely result happened: a Rosenborg win (62%).
Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg
- Ham-Kam21%
- Draw17%
- Rosenborg62%
1.27 expected goals for Ham-Kam
2.62 expected goals for Rosenborg
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Rosenborg the clear favourite: 62% to win. It expects 3.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 68% chance, and both teams scoring, 61%. And about 9.6 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals90%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals68%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals55%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals35%It did not happen
- Both teams score61%
- Ham-Kam or draw37%
- Draw or Rosenborg79%
- No draw83%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.6 expected
5.2 for Ham-Kam and 4.4 for Rosenborg
- Over 8.5 corners58%
- Over 9.5 corners48%
- Over 10.5 corners38%
Cards
3.3 expected
1.5 for Ham-Kam and 1.8 for Rosenborg
- Over 3.5 cards41%
- Over 4.5 cards23%
- Over 5.5 cards11%
Shots
28.8 expected
13.1 for Ham-Kam and 15.7 for Rosenborg
- Over 20.5 shots87%
- Over 22.5 shots79%
- Over 24.5 shots70%
Fouls
23.8 expected
11.5 for Ham-Kam and 12.3 for Rosenborg
- Over 20.5 fouls73%
- Over 22.5 fouls58%
- Over 24.5 fouls43%
Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.