Halmstad vs Malmo FF

Halmstad23%
Draw26%
Malmo FF51%

0.73 expected goals for Halmstad

1.45 expected goals for Malmo FF

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Malmo FF has the edge (51%), but not by much: a draw is at 26% and a Halmstad win at 23%. It expects 2.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 45% chance, and both teams scoring, 47%. And about 11.1 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals88%It happened
Over 1.5 goals65%It happened
Over 2.5 goals45%It happened
Over 3.5 goals18%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals7%It did not happen

Both teams score47%
Halmstad or draw49%
Draw or Malmo FF77%
No draw74%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

11.1 expected

5.0 for Halmstad and 6.1 for Malmo FF

Over 8.5 corners71%
Over 9.5 corners62%
Over 10.5 corners52%

Cards

3.5 expected

1.4 for Halmstad and 2.1 for Malmo FF

Over 3.5 cards47%
Over 4.5 cards28%
Over 5.5 cards15%

Shots

30.0 expected

12.0 for Halmstad and 18.0 for Malmo FF

Over 20.5 shots89%
Over 22.5 shots82%
Over 24.5 shots74%

Fouls

23.9 expected

12.1 for Halmstad and 11.8 for Malmo FF

Over 20.5 fouls73%
Over 22.5 fouls59%
Over 24.5 fouls44%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.