Probably Football

Matches

Allsvenskan (Sweden)

Wednesday 28 October, 09:00

Final score

IFK Goteborg1-1Djurgardens IF

The model gave this result 23%. Its most likely result was a Djurgardens IF win (53%).

IFK Goteborg vs Djurgardens IF

  1. IFK Goteborg24%
  2. Draw23%
  3. Djurgardens IF53%

0.99 expected goals for IFK Goteborg

1.86 expected goals for Djurgardens IF

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Djurgardens IF has the edge (53%), but not by much: a draw is at 23% and a IFK Goteborg win at 24%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 54% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 9.8 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals78%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals54%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals32%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals16%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.8 expected

5.6 for IFK Goteborg and 4.2 for Djurgardens IF

  1. Over 8.5 corners60%
  2. Over 9.5 corners50%
  3. Over 10.5 corners40%

Cards

3.8 expected

1.6 for IFK Goteborg and 2.2 for Djurgardens IF

  1. Over 3.5 cards53%
  2. Over 4.5 cards33%
  3. Over 5.5 cards18%

Shots

23.7 expected

14.2 for IFK Goteborg and 9.5 for Djurgardens IF

  1. Over 20.5 shots67%
  2. Over 22.5 shots55%
  3. Over 24.5 shots42%

Fouls

25.4 expected

14.4 for IFK Goteborg and 11.0 for Djurgardens IF

  1. Over 20.5 fouls81%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls69%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls55%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.