Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK

Degerfors IF27%
Draw25%
Vasteras SK FK48%

0.92 expected goals for Degerfors IF

1.50 expected goals for Vasteras SK FK

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Vasteras SK FK has the edge (48%), but not by much: a draw is at 25% and a Degerfors IF win at 27%. It expects 2.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 49% chance, and both teams scoring, 50%. And about 10.2 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals90%It happened
Over 1.5 goals70%It happened
Over 2.5 goals49%It happened
Over 3.5 goals23%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals10%It did not happen

Both teams score50%
Degerfors IF or draw52%
Draw or Vasteras SK FK74%
No draw75%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.2 expected

5.7 for Degerfors IF and 4.5 for Vasteras SK FK

Over 8.5 corners64%
Over 9.5 corners53%
Over 10.5 corners43%

Cards

3.6 expected

1.4 for Degerfors IF and 2.2 for Vasteras SK FK

Over 3.5 cards48%
Over 4.5 cards29%
Over 5.5 cards15%

Shots

26.7 expected

13.2 for Degerfors IF and 13.5 for Vasteras SK FK

Over 20.5 shots81%
Over 22.5 shots71%
Over 24.5 shots60%

Fouls

26.3 expected

12.9 for Degerfors IF and 13.3 for Vasteras SK FK

Over 20.5 fouls85%
Over 22.5 fouls74%
Over 24.5 fouls61%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.