Probably Football

Matches

Allsvenskan (Sweden)

Sunday 25 October, 09:00

Final score

Vasteras SK FK1-2Halmstad

The model gave this result 14%. Its most likely result was a Vasteras SK FK win (63%).

Vasteras SK FK vs Halmstad

  1. Vasteras SK FK63%
  2. Draw23%
  3. Halmstad14%

1.79 expected goals for Vasteras SK FK

0.66 expected goals for Halmstad

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Vasteras SK FK the clear favourite: 63% to win. It expects 2.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 49% chance, and both teams scoring, 47%. And about 10.3 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals91%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals71%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals49%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals23%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals10%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.3 expected

6.0 for Vasteras SK FK and 4.4 for Halmstad

  1. Over 8.5 corners65%
  2. Over 9.5 corners55%
  3. Over 10.5 corners45%

Cards

3.3 expected

1.5 for Vasteras SK FK and 1.7 for Halmstad

  1. Over 3.5 cards41%
  2. Over 4.5 cards23%
  3. Over 5.5 cards11%

Shots

27.8 expected

17.2 for Vasteras SK FK and 10.5 for Halmstad

  1. Over 20.5 shots84%
  2. Over 22.5 shots75%
  3. Over 24.5 shots65%

Fouls

22.2 expected

10.9 for Vasteras SK FK and 11.3 for Halmstad

  1. Over 20.5 fouls62%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls46%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls32%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.