Sirius vs AIK Stockholm

Sirius56%
Draw20%
AIK Stockholm24%

2.51 expected goals for Sirius

1.51 expected goals for AIK Stockholm

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Sirius the clear favourite: 56% to win. It expects 4.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 64% chance, and both teams scoring, 60%. And about 10.4 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
Over 1.5 goals91%It happened
Over 2.5 goals64%It happened
Over 3.5 goals57%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals38%It did not happen

Both teams score60%
Sirius or draw76%
Draw or AIK Stockholm44%
No draw80%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.4 expected

5.3 for Sirius and 5.0 for AIK Stockholm

Over 8.5 corners65%
Over 9.5 corners55%
Over 10.5 corners45%

Cards

3.3 expected

1.4 for Sirius and 1.9 for AIK Stockholm

Over 3.5 cards42%
Over 4.5 cards23%
Over 5.5 cards11%

Shots

28.3 expected

15.6 for Sirius and 12.7 for AIK Stockholm

Over 20.5 shots86%
Over 22.5 shots78%
Over 24.5 shots68%

Fouls

23.1 expected

11.6 for Sirius and 11.5 for AIK Stockholm

Over 20.5 fouls68%
Over 22.5 fouls53%
Over 24.5 fouls38%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.