Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF

Mjallby AIF23%
Draw25%
Hammarby FF52%

0.75 expected goals for Mjallby AIF

1.55 expected goals for Hammarby FF

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Hammarby FF has the edge (52%), but not by much: a draw is at 25% and a Mjallby AIF win at 23%. It expects 2.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 47% chance, and both teams scoring, 48%. And about 9.4 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals89%It happened
Over 1.5 goals68%It happened
Over 2.5 goals47%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals20%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals8%It did not happen

Both teams score48%
Mjallby AIF or draw48%
Draw or Hammarby FF77%
No draw75%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.4 expected

4.9 for Mjallby AIF and 4.5 for Hammarby FF

Over 8.5 corners56%
Over 9.5 corners45%
Over 10.5 corners35%

Cards

3.8 expected

1.9 for Mjallby AIF and 1.9 for Hammarby FF

Over 3.5 cards54%
Over 4.5 cards34%
Over 5.5 cards19%

Shots

27.7 expected

11.6 for Mjallby AIF and 16.1 for Hammarby FF

Over 20.5 shots84%
Over 22.5 shots75%
Over 24.5 shots64%

Fouls

28.6 expected

13.8 for Mjallby AIF and 14.8 for Hammarby FF

Over 20.5 fouls92%
Over 22.5 fouls85%
Over 24.5 fouls75%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.