Probably Football

Matches

Allsvenskan (Sweden)

Sunday 25 October, 09:00

Final score

Kalmar FF0-3IF Brommapojkarna

The model's most likely result happened: a IF Brommapojkarna win (42%).

Kalmar FF vs IF Brommapojkarna

  1. Kalmar FF33%
  2. Draw25%
  3. IF Brommapojkarna42%

1.32 expected goals for Kalmar FF

1.50 expected goals for IF Brommapojkarna

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

IF Brommapojkarna has the edge (42%), but not by much: a draw is at 25% and a Kalmar FF win at 33%. It expects 2.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 54% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%. And about 10.3 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals78%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals54%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals31%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals16%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.3 expected

6.0 for Kalmar FF and 4.3 for IF Brommapojkarna

  1. Over 8.5 corners64%
  2. Over 9.5 corners54%
  3. Over 10.5 corners44%

Cards

3.3 expected

1.3 for Kalmar FF and 2.0 for IF Brommapojkarna

  1. Over 3.5 cards43%
  2. Over 4.5 cards24%
  3. Over 5.5 cards12%

Shots

26.9 expected

16.0 for Kalmar FF and 10.8 for IF Brommapojkarna

  1. Over 20.5 shots81%
  2. Over 22.5 shots71%
  3. Over 24.5 shots60%

Fouls

25.7 expected

13.8 for Kalmar FF and 11.9 for IF Brommapojkarna

  1. Over 20.5 fouls83%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls71%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls57%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.