Probably Football

Matches

Allsvenskan (Sweden)

Sunday 25 October, 09:00

Final score

Gais1-1IFK Goteborg

The model gave this result 27%. Its most likely result was a Gais win (42%).

Gais vs IFK Goteborg

  1. Gais42%
  2. Draw27%
  3. IFK Goteborg31%

1.37 expected goals for Gais

1.04 expected goals for IFK Goteborg

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Gais has the edge (42%), but not by much: a draw is at 27% and a IFK Goteborg win at 31%. It expects 2.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 10.4 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals90%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals70%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals48%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals22%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals10%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.4 expected

5.4 for Gais and 5.0 for IFK Goteborg

  1. Over 8.5 corners66%
  2. Over 9.5 corners56%
  3. Over 10.5 corners46%

Cards

3.6 expected

1.6 for Gais and 2.1 for IFK Goteborg

  1. Over 3.5 cards49%
  2. Over 4.5 cards30%
  3. Over 5.5 cards16%

Shots

24.9 expected

13.3 for Gais and 11.6 for IFK Goteborg

  1. Over 20.5 shots73%
  2. Over 22.5 shots62%
  3. Over 24.5 shots50%

Fouls

26.7 expected

12.9 for Gais and 13.8 for IFK Goteborg

  1. Over 20.5 fouls86%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls76%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls63%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.