Probably Football

Matches

Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina)

Sunday 25 October, 16:00

Final score

Union Santa Fe3-1Estudiantes L.P.

The model gave this result 30%. Its most likely result was a Estudiantes L.P. win (41%).

Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P.

  1. Union Santa Fe30%
  2. Draw29%
  3. Estudiantes L.P.41%

0.88 expected goals for Union Santa Fe

1.59 expected goals for Estudiantes L.P.

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Estudiantes L.P. has the edge (41%), but not by much: a draw is at 29% and a Union Santa Fe win at 30%. It expects 2.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 42% chance, and both teams scoring, 46%. And about 9.5 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals91%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals71%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals42%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals24%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals10%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.5 expected

5.2 for Union Santa Fe and 4.3 for Estudiantes L.P.

  1. Over 8.5 corners57%
  2. Over 9.5 corners46%
  3. Over 10.5 corners36%

Cards

4.8 expected

2.4 for Union Santa Fe and 2.4 for Estudiantes L.P.

  1. Over 3.5 cards71%
  2. Over 4.5 cards53%
  3. Over 5.5 cards35%

Shots

29.1 expected

14.4 for Union Santa Fe and 14.7 for Estudiantes L.P.

  1. Over 20.5 shots88%
  2. Over 22.5 shots81%
  3. Over 24.5 shots71%

Fouls

25.0 expected

13.3 for Union Santa Fe and 11.7 for Estudiantes L.P.

  1. Over 20.5 fouls79%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls66%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls52%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.