Probably Football

Matches

Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina)

Sunday 25 October, 16:00

Final score

Tigre0-1Atletico Tucuman

The model gave this result 28%. Its most likely result was a Tigre win (41%).

Tigre vs Atletico Tucuman

  1. Tigre41%
  2. Draw31%
  3. Atletico Tucuman28%

1.17 expected goals for Tigre

1.06 expected goals for Atletico Tucuman

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Tigre has the edge (41%), but not by much: a draw is at 31% and a Atletico Tucuman win at 28%. It expects 2.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 38% chance, and both teams scoring, 45%. And about 9.3 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals89%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals66%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals38%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals19%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals8%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.3 expected

5.3 for Tigre and 4.0 for Atletico Tucuman

  1. Over 8.5 corners55%
  2. Over 9.5 corners44%
  3. Over 10.5 corners34%

Cards

4.4 expected

2.1 for Tigre and 2.3 for Atletico Tucuman

  1. Over 3.5 cards64%
  2. Over 4.5 cards45%
  3. Over 5.5 cards28%

Shots

27.0 expected

17.0 for Tigre and 10.0 for Atletico Tucuman

  1. Over 20.5 shots81%
  2. Over 22.5 shots72%
  3. Over 24.5 shots61%

Fouls

22.2 expected

10.2 for Tigre and 12.0 for Atletico Tucuman

  1. Over 20.5 fouls61%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls46%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls31%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.