Probably Football

Matches

Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina)

Sunday 25 October, 16:00

Final score

Talleres Cordoba1-2Defensa Y Justicia

The model gave this result 32%. Its most likely result was a Talleres Cordoba win (37%).

Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia

  1. Talleres Cordoba37%
  2. Draw31%
  3. Defensa Y Justicia32%

1.06 expected goals for Talleres Cordoba

1.21 expected goals for Defensa Y Justicia

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 37%. It expects 2.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 39% chance, and both teams scoring, 46%. And about 9.7 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals89%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals67%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals39%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals20%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals8%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.7 expected

5.8 for Talleres Cordoba and 3.9 for Defensa Y Justicia

  1. Over 8.5 corners59%
  2. Over 9.5 corners49%
  3. Over 10.5 corners39%

Cards

4.3 expected

2.0 for Talleres Cordoba and 2.3 for Defensa Y Justicia

  1. Over 3.5 cards63%
  2. Over 4.5 cards44%
  3. Over 5.5 cards27%

Shots

30.3 expected

16.5 for Talleres Cordoba and 13.7 for Defensa Y Justicia

  1. Over 20.5 shots90%
  2. Over 22.5 shots84%
  3. Over 24.5 shots76%

Fouls

24.1 expected

12.0 for Talleres Cordoba and 12.1 for Defensa Y Justicia

  1. Over 20.5 fouls74%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls60%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls45%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.