Probably Football

Matches

Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina)

Sunday 25 October, 16:00

Final score

San Lorenzo0-0Newells Old Boys

The model gave this result 34%. Its most likely result was a San Lorenzo win (41%).

San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys

  1. San Lorenzo41%
  2. Draw34%
  3. Newells Old Boys25%

0.93 expected goals for San Lorenzo

0.71 expected goals for Newells Old Boys

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 41%. It expects 1.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 30% chance, and both teams scoring, 41%. And about 9.6 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals80%It did not happen
  2. Over 1.5 goals49%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals30%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals8%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals3%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.6 expected

5.3 for San Lorenzo and 4.2 for Newells Old Boys

  1. Over 8.5 corners58%
  2. Over 9.5 corners47%
  3. Over 10.5 corners37%

Cards

4.5 expected

2.2 for San Lorenzo and 2.2 for Newells Old Boys

  1. Over 3.5 cards66%
  2. Over 4.5 cards46%
  3. Over 5.5 cards29%

Shots

24.0 expected

12.4 for San Lorenzo and 11.6 for Newells Old Boys

  1. Over 20.5 shots69%
  2. Over 22.5 shots57%
  3. Over 24.5 shots44%

Fouls

27.2 expected

13.4 for San Lorenzo and 13.9 for Newells Old Boys

  1. Over 20.5 fouls88%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls79%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls67%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.