Instituto Cordoba vs Deportivo Riestra

Instituto Cordoba49%
Draw31%
Deportivo Riestra20%

1.28 expected goals for Instituto Cordoba

0.64 expected goals for Deportivo Riestra

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Instituto Cordoba has the edge (49%), but not by much: a draw is at 31% and a Deportivo Riestra win at 20%. It expects 1.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 34% chance, and both teams scoring, 42%. And about 8.4 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals85%It happened
Over 1.5 goals58%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals34%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals13%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals5%It did not happen

Both teams score42%
Instituto Cordoba or draw80%
Draw or Deportivo Riestra51%
No draw69%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

8.4 expected

5.0 for Instituto Cordoba and 3.4 for Deportivo Riestra

Over 8.5 corners46%
Over 9.5 corners35%
Over 10.5 corners26%

Cards

4.8 expected

2.4 for Instituto Cordoba and 2.4 for Deportivo Riestra

Over 3.5 cards71%
Over 4.5 cards53%
Over 5.5 cards35%

Shots

24.0 expected

14.8 for Instituto Cordoba and 9.2 for Deportivo Riestra

Over 20.5 shots69%
Over 22.5 shots57%
Over 24.5 shots44%

Fouls

23.0 expected

10.7 for Instituto Cordoba and 12.3 for Deportivo Riestra

Over 20.5 fouls67%
Over 22.5 fouls52%
Over 24.5 fouls37%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.