Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina)
Sunday 25 October, 16:00
Final score
Gimnasia M.1-2Platense
The model gave this result 29%. Its most likely result was a Gimnasia M. win (39%).
Gimnasia M. vs Platense
- Gimnasia M.39%
- Draw32%
- Platense29%
1.04 expected goals for Gimnasia M.
0.98 expected goals for Platense
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 39%. It expects 2.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 35% chance, and both teams scoring, 44%. And about 9.5 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals86%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals61%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals35%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals15%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals6%It did not happen
- Both teams score44%
- Gimnasia M. or draw71%
- Draw or Platense61%
- No draw68%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.5 expected
4.6 for Gimnasia M. and 4.9 for Platense
- Over 8.5 corners57%
- Over 9.5 corners47%
- Over 10.5 corners37%
Cards
4.3 expected
1.8 for Gimnasia M. and 2.5 for Platense
- Over 3.5 cards62%
- Over 4.5 cards42%
- Over 5.5 cards26%
Shots
23.4 expected
12.3 for Gimnasia M. and 11.1 for Platense
- Over 20.5 shots66%
- Over 22.5 shots53%
- Over 24.5 shots41%
Fouls
23.6 expected
10.9 for Gimnasia M. and 12.7 for Platense
- Over 20.5 fouls71%
- Over 22.5 fouls57%
- Over 24.5 fouls42%
Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.