Probably Football

Matches

Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina)

Sunday 25 October, 16:00

Final score

Central Cordoba de Santiago0-5Velez Sarsfield

The model's most likely result happened: a Velez Sarsfield win (39%).

Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Velez Sarsfield

  1. Central Cordoba de Santiago31%
  2. Draw30%
  3. Velez Sarsfield39%

0.82 expected goals for Central Cordoba de Santiago

1.42 expected goals for Velez Sarsfield

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Velez Sarsfield has the edge (39%), but not by much: a draw is at 30% and a Central Cordoba de Santiago win at 31%. It expects 2.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 39% chance, and both teams scoring, 44%. And about 9.5 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals89%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals66%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals39%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals19%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals8%It happened

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.5 expected

5.8 for Central Cordoba de Santiago and 3.7 for Velez Sarsfield

  1. Over 8.5 corners57%
  2. Over 9.5 corners46%
  3. Over 10.5 corners36%

Cards

3.8 expected

1.7 for Central Cordoba de Santiago and 2.0 for Velez Sarsfield

  1. Over 3.5 cards52%
  2. Over 4.5 cards32%
  3. Over 5.5 cards18%

Shots

26.8 expected

16.0 for Central Cordoba de Santiago and 10.8 for Velez Sarsfield

  1. Over 20.5 shots81%
  2. Over 22.5 shots71%
  3. Over 24.5 shots60%

Fouls

23.6 expected

11.1 for Central Cordoba de Santiago and 12.5 for Velez Sarsfield

  1. Over 20.5 fouls71%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls57%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls42%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.