Probably Football

Matches

Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina)

Sunday 25 October, 16:00

Final score

Barracas Central2-1Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

The model's most likely result happened: a Barracas Central win (47%).

Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

  1. Barracas Central47%
  2. Draw32%
  3. Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto21%

1.19 expected goals for Barracas Central

0.63 expected goals for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Barracas Central has the edge (47%), but not by much: a draw is at 32% and a Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto win at 21%. It expects 1.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 32% chance, and both teams scoring, 41%. And about 10.1 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals83%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals55%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals32%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals11%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals4%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.1 expected

5.6 for Barracas Central and 4.5 for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

  1. Over 8.5 corners63%
  2. Over 9.5 corners53%
  3. Over 10.5 corners43%

Cards

4.1 expected

2.0 for Barracas Central and 2.2 for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

  1. Over 3.5 cards59%
  2. Over 4.5 cards40%
  3. Over 5.5 cards24%

Shots

23.2 expected

14.0 for Barracas Central and 9.2 for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

  1. Over 20.5 shots64%
  2. Over 22.5 shots52%
  3. Over 24.5 shots39%

Fouls

24.1 expected

11.3 for Barracas Central and 12.8 for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

  1. Over 20.5 fouls74%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls60%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls45%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.