Probably Football

Matches

Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina)

Sunday 25 October, 16:00

Final score

Banfield1-1Lanus

The model gave this result 31%. Its most likely result was a Lanus win (37%).

Banfield vs Lanus

  1. Banfield32%
  2. Draw31%
  3. Lanus37%

0.91 expected goals for Banfield

1.35 expected goals for Lanus

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 37%. It expects 2.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 39% chance, and both teams scoring, 45%. And about 9.4 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals89%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals67%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals39%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals19%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals8%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.4 expected

5.0 for Banfield and 4.4 for Lanus

  1. Over 8.5 corners56%
  2. Over 9.5 corners45%
  3. Over 10.5 corners35%

Cards

3.8 expected

1.8 for Banfield and 2.0 for Lanus

  1. Over 3.5 cards53%
  2. Over 4.5 cards33%
  3. Over 5.5 cards18%

Shots

27.5 expected

14.2 for Banfield and 13.3 for Lanus

  1. Over 20.5 shots83%
  2. Over 22.5 shots74%
  3. Over 24.5 shots64%

Fouls

23.7 expected

13.3 for Banfield and 10.4 for Lanus

  1. Over 20.5 fouls72%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls57%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls42%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.