Fluminense vs Internacional

Fluminense51%
Draw27%
Internacional22%

1.53 expected goals for Fluminense

1.06 expected goals for Internacional

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Fluminense has the edge (51%), but not by much: a draw is at 27% and a Internacional win at 22%. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 47% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 8.9 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
Over 1.5 goals74%It happened
Over 2.5 goals47%It happened
Over 3.5 goals26%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals12%It did not happen

Both teams score51%
Fluminense or draw78%
Draw or Internacional49%
No draw73%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

8.9 expected

5.3 for Fluminense and 3.5 for Internacional

Over 8.5 corners50%
Over 9.5 corners40%
Over 10.5 corners30%

Cards

4.7 expected

1.9 for Fluminense and 2.8 for Internacional

Over 3.5 cards69%
Over 4.5 cards50%
Over 5.5 cards33%

Shots

25.3 expected

14.8 for Fluminense and 10.5 for Internacional

Over 20.5 shots75%
Over 22.5 shots64%
Over 24.5 shots52%

Fouls

27.9 expected

13.0 for Fluminense and 14.9 for Internacional

Over 20.5 fouls90%
Over 22.5 fouls82%
Over 24.5 fouls71%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.