RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense-sc

RB Bragantino63%
Draw23%
Chapecoense-sc14%

1.98 expected goals for RB Bragantino

0.91 expected goals for Chapecoense-sc

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes RB Bragantino the clear favourite: 63% to win. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 49% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 10.2 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
Over 1.5 goals79%It happened
Over 2.5 goals49%It happened
Over 3.5 goals33%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals17%It did not happen

Both teams score51%
RB Bragantino or draw86%
Draw or Chapecoense-sc37%
No draw77%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.2 expected

5.7 for RB Bragantino and 4.5 for Chapecoense-sc

Over 8.5 corners64%
Over 9.5 corners54%
Over 10.5 corners44%

Cards

4.1 expected

1.7 for RB Bragantino and 2.4 for Chapecoense-sc

Over 3.5 cards58%
Over 4.5 cards39%
Over 5.5 cards23%

Shots

32.2 expected

19.8 for RB Bragantino and 12.5 for Chapecoense-sc

Over 20.5 shots93%
Over 22.5 shots88%
Over 24.5 shots82%

Fouls

23.4 expected

11.0 for RB Bragantino and 12.3 for Chapecoense-sc

Over 20.5 fouls70%
Over 22.5 fouls55%
Over 24.5 fouls40%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.