Sunday 25 October, 16:00
Final score
Palmeiras2-0RB Bragantino
The model's most likely result happened: a Palmeiras win (59%).
Palmeiras vs RB Bragantino
- Palmeiras59%
- Draw26%
- RB Bragantino15%
1.64 expected goals for Palmeiras
0.79 expected goals for RB Bragantino
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Palmeiras the clear favourite: 59% to win. It expects 2.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 46% chance, and both teams scoring, 50%. And about 10.5 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals91%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals70%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals46%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals23%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals10%It did not happen
- Both teams score50%
- Palmeiras or draw84%
- Draw or RB Bragantino41%
- No draw74%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.5 expected
5.3 for Palmeiras and 5.2 for RB Bragantino
- Over 8.5 corners66%
- Over 9.5 corners56%
- Over 10.5 corners46%
Cards
4.6 expected
2.1 for Palmeiras and 2.5 for RB Bragantino
- Over 3.5 cards68%
- Over 4.5 cards49%
- Over 5.5 cards32%
Shots
32.0 expected
18.4 for Palmeiras and 13.5 for RB Bragantino
- Over 20.5 shots93%
- Over 22.5 shots88%
- Over 24.5 shots81%
Fouls
23.3 expected
11.5 for Palmeiras and 11.8 for RB Bragantino
- Over 20.5 fouls69%
- Over 22.5 fouls55%
- Over 24.5 fouls40%
Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.