Internacional vs Botafogo

Internacional45%
Draw27%
Botafogo28%

1.36 expected goals for Internacional

1.20 expected goals for Botafogo

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Internacional has the edge (45%), but not by much: a draw is at 27% and a Botafogo win at 28%. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 47% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 10.4 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
Over 1.5 goals73%It happened
Over 2.5 goals47%It happened
Over 3.5 goals26%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals12%It did not happen

Both teams score51%
Internacional or draw72%
Draw or Botafogo55%
No draw72%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.4 expected

5.7 for Internacional and 4.7 for Botafogo

Over 8.5 corners65%
Over 9.5 corners55%
Over 10.5 corners45%

Cards

4.8 expected

2.2 for Internacional and 2.5 for Botafogo

Over 3.5 cards70%
Over 4.5 cards52%
Over 5.5 cards35%

Shots

26.2 expected

14.2 for Internacional and 12.0 for Botafogo

Over 20.5 shots79%
Over 22.5 shots69%
Over 24.5 shots57%

Fouls

26.6 expected

14.0 for Internacional and 12.6 for Botafogo

Over 20.5 fouls86%
Over 22.5 fouls76%
Over 24.5 fouls63%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.