Probably Football

Matches

Major League Soccer (USA)

Wednesday 28 October, 21:30

Final score

Seattle Sounders0-1Houston Dynamo

The model gave this result 25%. Its most likely result was a Seattle Sounders win (47%).

Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo

  1. Seattle Sounders47%
  2. Draw28%
  3. Houston Dynamo25%

1.22 expected goals for Seattle Sounders

0.92 expected goals for Houston Dynamo

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Seattle Sounders has the edge (47%), but not by much: a draw is at 28% and a Houston Dynamo win at 25%. It expects 2.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 52% chance, and both teams scoring, 56%. And about 10.8 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals88%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals64%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals52%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals17%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals7%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.8 expected

6.1 for Seattle Sounders and 4.6 for Houston Dynamo

  1. Over 8.5 corners68%
  2. Over 9.5 corners59%
  3. Over 10.5 corners49%

Cards

4.0 expected

1.6 for Seattle Sounders and 2.3 for Houston Dynamo

  1. Over 3.5 cards56%
  2. Over 4.5 cards37%
  3. Over 5.5 cards21%

Shots

28.8 expected

16.8 for Seattle Sounders and 12.0 for Houston Dynamo

  1. Over 20.5 shots87%
  2. Over 22.5 shots79%
  3. Over 24.5 shots70%

Fouls

21.2 expected

12.2 for Seattle Sounders and 9.0 for Houston Dynamo

  1. Over 20.5 fouls54%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls38%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls25%

Saved before kickoff, on 28 October at 20:39 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.