Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego

Vancouver Whitecaps55%
Draw23%
San Diego22%

2.27 expected goals for Vancouver Whitecaps

1.35 expected goals for San Diego

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the clear favourite: 55% to win. It expects 3.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 64% chance, and both teams scoring, 63%. And about 10.0 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%It happened
Over 1.5 goals88%It happened
Over 2.5 goals64%It happened
Over 3.5 goals49%It happened
Over 4.5 goals30%It happened

Both teams score63%
Vancouver Whitecaps or draw78%
Draw or San Diego45%
No draw77%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.0 expected

5.5 for Vancouver Whitecaps and 4.5 for San Diego

Over 8.5 corners62%
Over 9.5 corners51%
Over 10.5 corners41%

Cards

4.1 expected

1.9 for Vancouver Whitecaps and 2.2 for San Diego

Over 3.5 cards59%
Over 4.5 cards39%
Over 5.5 cards23%

Shots

27.8 expected

16.7 for Vancouver Whitecaps and 11.1 for San Diego

Over 20.5 shots84%
Over 22.5 shots75%
Over 24.5 shots65%

Fouls

24.7 expected

12.8 for Vancouver Whitecaps and 11.9 for San Diego

Over 20.5 fouls78%
Over 22.5 fouls65%
Over 24.5 fouls50%

Saved before kickoff, on 28 October at 20:39 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.