Wednesday 28 October, 19:30
Final score
Austin1-2Real Salt Lake
The model gave this result 34%. Its most likely result was a Austin win (39%).
Austin vs Real Salt Lake
- Austin39%
- Draw27%
- Real Salt Lake34%
1.32 expected goals for Austin
1.55 expected goals for Real Salt Lake
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 39%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 57% chance, and both teams scoring, 58%. And about 10.1 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals79%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals57%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals32%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals16%It did not happen
- Both teams score58%
- Austin or draw66%
- Draw or Real Salt Lake61%
- No draw73%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.1 expected
5.7 for Austin and 4.4 for Real Salt Lake
- Over 8.5 corners63%
- Over 9.5 corners52%
- Over 10.5 corners42%
Cards
3.9 expected
1.6 for Austin and 2.3 for Real Salt Lake
- Over 3.5 cards54%
- Over 4.5 cards34%
- Over 5.5 cards19%
Shots
26.8 expected
13.2 for Austin and 13.7 for Real Salt Lake
- Over 20.5 shots81%
- Over 22.5 shots71%
- Over 24.5 shots60%
Fouls
21.3 expected
11.0 for Austin and 10.2 for Real Salt Lake
- Over 20.5 fouls54%
- Over 22.5 fouls39%
- Over 24.5 fouls25%
Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 07:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.