Wednesday 28 October, 18:30
Final score
Charlotte4-0CF Montreal
The model's most likely result happened: a Charlotte win (55%).
Charlotte vs CF Montreal
- Charlotte55%
- Draw25%
- CF Montreal20%
2.01 expected goals for Charlotte
1.06 expected goals for CF Montreal
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Charlotte the clear favourite: 55% to win. It expects 3.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 58% chance, and both teams scoring, 58%. And about 10.4 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals82%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals58%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals37%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals20%It did not happen
- Both teams score58%
- Charlotte or draw80%
- Draw or CF Montreal45%
- No draw76%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.4 expected
5.7 for Charlotte and 4.6 for CF Montreal
- Over 8.5 corners65%
- Over 9.5 corners55%
- Over 10.5 corners45%
Cards
4.0 expected
1.7 for Charlotte and 2.3 for CF Montreal
- Over 3.5 cards56%
- Over 4.5 cards37%
- Over 5.5 cards21%
Shots
30.8 expected
16.0 for Charlotte and 14.8 for CF Montreal
- Over 20.5 shots91%
- Over 22.5 shots85%
- Over 24.5 shots78%
Fouls
23.5 expected
11.2 for Charlotte and 12.3 for CF Montreal
- Over 20.5 fouls71%
- Over 22.5 fouls56%
- Over 24.5 fouls41%
Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.