New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC

New York City FC49%
Draw27%
Atlanta United FC24%

1.53 expected goals for New York City FC

1.03 expected goals for Atlanta United FC

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

New York City FC has the edge (49%), but not by much: a draw is at 27% and a Atlanta United FC win at 24%. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 54% chance, and both teams scoring, 56%. And about 9.4 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
Over 1.5 goals73%It happened
Over 2.5 goals54%It happened
Over 3.5 goals26%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals12%It did not happen

Both teams score56%
New York City FC or draw76%
Draw or Atlanta United FC51%
No draw73%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.4 expected

4.9 for New York City FC and 4.5 for Atlanta United FC

Over 8.5 corners56%
Over 9.5 corners45%
Over 10.5 corners35%

Cards

3.8 expected

1.4 for New York City FC and 2.4 for Atlanta United FC

Over 3.5 cards52%
Over 4.5 cards33%
Over 5.5 cards18%

Shots

24.2 expected

12.9 for New York City FC and 11.4 for Atlanta United FC

Over 20.5 shots70%
Over 22.5 shots58%
Over 24.5 shots46%

Fouls

25.1 expected

11.3 for New York City FC and 13.8 for Atlanta United FC

Over 20.5 fouls80%
Over 22.5 fouls67%
Over 24.5 fouls53%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.