Probably Football

Matches

Major League Soccer (USA)

Sunday 25 October, 20:00

Final score

Los Angeles FC2-2Los Angeles Galaxy

The model gave this result 25%. Its most likely result was a Los Angeles FC win (54%).

Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy

  1. Los Angeles FC54%
  2. Draw25%
  3. Los Angeles Galaxy21%

1.79 expected goals for Los Angeles FC

0.99 expected goals for Los Angeles Galaxy

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Los Angeles FC has the edge (54%), but not by much: a draw is at 25% and a Los Angeles Galaxy win at 21%. It expects 2.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance, and both teams scoring, 57%. And about 9.9 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals77%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals56%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals30%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals15%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.9 expected

5.5 for Los Angeles FC and 4.5 for Los Angeles Galaxy

  1. Over 8.5 corners61%
  2. Over 9.5 corners51%
  3. Over 10.5 corners41%

Cards

4.1 expected

2.0 for Los Angeles FC and 2.1 for Los Angeles Galaxy

  1. Over 3.5 cards59%
  2. Over 4.5 cards39%
  3. Over 5.5 cards23%

Shots

26.2 expected

14.1 for Los Angeles FC and 12.2 for Los Angeles Galaxy

  1. Over 20.5 shots79%
  2. Over 22.5 shots69%
  3. Over 24.5 shots57%

Fouls

23.1 expected

12.5 for Los Angeles FC and 10.6 for Los Angeles Galaxy

  1. Over 20.5 fouls68%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls53%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls38%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.