Probably Football

Matches

Major League Soccer (USA)

Saturday 24 October, 19:30

Final score

Colorado Rapids1-0Vancouver Whitecaps

The model gave this result 34%. Its most likely result was a Vancouver Whitecaps win (38%).

Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps

  1. Colorado Rapids34%
  2. Draw28%
  3. Vancouver Whitecaps38%

1.00 expected goals for Colorado Rapids

1.49 expected goals for Vancouver Whitecaps

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 38%. It expects 2.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 54% chance, and both teams scoring, 56%. And about 10.3 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals91%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals72%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals54%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals24%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals11%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.3 expected

5.8 for Colorado Rapids and 4.5 for Vancouver Whitecaps

  1. Over 8.5 corners65%
  2. Over 9.5 corners55%
  3. Over 10.5 corners45%

Cards

3.9 expected

2.0 for Colorado Rapids and 1.9 for Vancouver Whitecaps

  1. Over 3.5 cards55%
  2. Over 4.5 cards36%
  3. Over 5.5 cards20%

Shots

26.8 expected

14.5 for Colorado Rapids and 12.3 for Vancouver Whitecaps

  1. Over 20.5 shots81%
  2. Over 22.5 shots71%
  3. Over 24.5 shots60%

Fouls

25.6 expected

13.7 for Colorado Rapids and 11.9 for Vancouver Whitecaps

  1. Over 20.5 fouls82%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls70%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls56%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.