FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes

FC Dallas48%
Draw26%
San Jose Earthquakes26%

1.91 expected goals for FC Dallas

1.50 expected goals for San Jose Earthquakes

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

FC Dallas has the edge (48%), but not by much: a draw is at 26% and a San Jose Earthquakes win at 26%. It expects 3.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 62% chance, and both teams scoring, 63%. And about 10.8 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
Over 1.5 goals86%It happened
Over 2.5 goals62%It happened
Over 3.5 goals44%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals26%It did not happen

Both teams score63%
FC Dallas or draw74%
Draw or San Jose Earthquakes52%
No draw75%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.8 expected

5.5 for FC Dallas and 5.3 for San Jose Earthquakes

Over 8.5 corners69%
Over 9.5 corners59%
Over 10.5 corners49%

Cards

3.8 expected

1.8 for FC Dallas and 2.0 for San Jose Earthquakes

Over 3.5 cards53%
Over 4.5 cards34%
Over 5.5 cards19%

Shots

26.1 expected

14.0 for FC Dallas and 12.1 for San Jose Earthquakes

Over 20.5 shots78%
Over 22.5 shots68%
Over 24.5 shots56%

Fouls

21.4 expected

11.1 for FC Dallas and 10.3 for San Jose Earthquakes

Over 20.5 fouls55%
Over 22.5 fouls39%
Over 24.5 fouls26%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.