Probably Football

Matches

Major League Soccer (USA)

Saturday 24 October, 19:30

Final score

Houston Dynamo0-0Minnesota United FC

The model gave this result 27%. Its most likely result was a Houston Dynamo win (45%).

Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC

  1. Houston Dynamo45%
  2. Draw27%
  3. Minnesota United FC28%

1.60 expected goals for Houston Dynamo

1.43 expected goals for Minnesota United FC

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Houston Dynamo has the edge (45%), but not by much: a draw is at 27% and a Minnesota United FC win at 28%. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 58% chance, and both teams scoring, 60%. And about 9.8 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals95%It did not happen
  2. Over 1.5 goals81%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals58%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals36%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals19%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.8 expected

5.5 for Houston Dynamo and 4.3 for Minnesota United FC

  1. Over 8.5 corners60%
  2. Over 9.5 corners49%
  3. Over 10.5 corners39%

Cards

4.1 expected

1.7 for Houston Dynamo and 2.5 for Minnesota United FC

  1. Over 3.5 cards59%
  2. Over 4.5 cards39%
  3. Over 5.5 cards23%

Shots

27.2 expected

15.1 for Houston Dynamo and 12.1 for Minnesota United FC

  1. Over 20.5 shots82%
  2. Over 22.5 shots73%
  3. Over 24.5 shots62%

Fouls

22.4 expected

9.4 for Houston Dynamo and 13.0 for Minnesota United FC

  1. Over 20.5 fouls63%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls48%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls33%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.