Probably Football

Matches

Major League Soccer (USA)

Saturday 24 October, 18:30

Final score

Orlando City SC2-2New York City FC

The model gave this result 25%. Its most likely result was a Orlando City SC win (48%).

Orlando City SC vs New York City FC

  1. Orlando City SC48%
  2. Draw25%
  3. New York City FC27%

1.93 expected goals for Orlando City SC

1.56 expected goals for New York City FC

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Orlando City SC has the edge (48%), but not by much: a draw is at 25% and a New York City FC win at 27%. It expects 3.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 63% chance, and both teams scoring, 64%. And about 10.4 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals87%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals63%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals46%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals27%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.4 expected

5.4 for Orlando City SC and 5.0 for New York City FC

  1. Over 8.5 corners65%
  2. Over 9.5 corners55%
  3. Over 10.5 corners45%

Cards

4.4 expected

2.1 for Orlando City SC and 2.3 for New York City FC

  1. Over 3.5 cards64%
  2. Over 4.5 cards45%
  3. Over 5.5 cards28%

Shots

27.4 expected

13.8 for Orlando City SC and 13.5 for New York City FC

  1. Over 20.5 shots83%
  2. Over 22.5 shots74%
  3. Over 24.5 shots63%

Fouls

24.6 expected

13.1 for Orlando City SC and 11.5 for New York City FC

  1. Over 20.5 fouls77%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls64%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls49%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.