Saturday 24 October, 12:30
Final score
CF Montreal0-2Nashville SC
The model's most likely result happened: a Nashville SC win (54%).
CF Montreal vs Nashville SC
- CF Montreal22%
- Draw24%
- Nashville SC54%
0.74 expected goals for CF Montreal
2.04 expected goals for Nashville SC
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
Nashville SC has the edge (54%), but not by much: a draw is at 24% and a CF Montreal win at 22%. It expects 2.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance, and both teams scoring, 56%. And about 9.7 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals77%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals56%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals30%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals15%It did not happen
- Both teams score56%
- CF Montreal or draw46%
- Draw or Nashville SC78%
- No draw76%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.7 expected
5.0 for CF Montreal and 4.7 for Nashville SC
- Over 8.5 corners59%
- Over 9.5 corners48%
- Over 10.5 corners38%
Cards
3.9 expected
1.8 for CF Montreal and 2.0 for Nashville SC
- Over 3.5 cards54%
- Over 4.5 cards35%
- Over 5.5 cards20%
Shots
28.0 expected
11.9 for CF Montreal and 16.1 for Nashville SC
- Over 20.5 shots84%
- Over 22.5 shots76%
- Over 24.5 shots66%
Fouls
23.9 expected
12.0 for CF Montreal and 11.8 for Nashville SC
- Over 20.5 fouls73%
- Over 22.5 fouls59%
- Over 24.5 fouls44%
Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.