Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC

Columbus Crew49%
Draw26%
Toronto FC25%

1.81 expected goals for Columbus Crew

1.30 expected goals for Toronto FC

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Columbus Crew has the edge (49%), but not by much: a draw is at 26% and a Toronto FC win at 25%. It expects 3.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 59% chance, and both teams scoring, 60%. And about 10.4 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
Over 1.5 goals82%It happened
Over 2.5 goals59%It happened
Over 3.5 goals38%It happened
Over 4.5 goals20%It happened

Both teams score60%
Columbus Crew or draw75%
Draw or Toronto FC51%
No draw74%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.4 expected

6.5 for Columbus Crew and 3.9 for Toronto FC

Over 8.5 corners65%
Over 9.5 corners55%
Over 10.5 corners45%

Cards

4.4 expected

2.1 for Columbus Crew and 2.3 for Toronto FC

Over 3.5 cards64%
Over 4.5 cards44%
Over 5.5 cards28%

Shots

30.3 expected

19.3 for Columbus Crew and 11.0 for Toronto FC

Over 20.5 shots90%
Over 22.5 shots84%
Over 24.5 shots75%

Fouls

24.9 expected

12.5 for Columbus Crew and 12.3 for Toronto FC

Over 20.5 fouls78%
Over 22.5 fouls65%
Over 24.5 fouls51%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.