Union Magdalena vs Envigado
- Union Magdalena38%
- Draw31%
- Envigado31%
1.02 expected goals for Union Magdalena
1.03 expected goals for Envigado
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
In short
A very open match: no result goes above 38%. The biggest factor in these numbers is the Envigado defence, which lets in 21% fewer goals than an average team. Next comes the Envigado attack, which scores 15% fewer goals than an average team. It expects 2.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 37% chance, and both teams scoring, 44%.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
Union Magdalena
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- Union Magdalena attack−15%
- Envigado defence−21%
Expected goals1.02
Envigado
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Envigado attack−15%
- Union Magdalena defence−11%
Expected goals1.03
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals86%
- Over 1.5 goals61%
- Over 2.5 goals37%
- Over 3.5 goals15%
- Over 4.5 goals6%
- Both teams score44%
- Union Magdalena or draw69%
- Draw or Envigado62%
- No draw69%
Saved before kickoff, on (UTC). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.