Tigres FC vs Quindio
- Tigres FC29%
- Draw36%
- Quindio35%
0.66 expected goals for Tigres FC
0.85 expected goals for Quindio
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
In short
A very open match: no result goes above 36%. The biggest factor in these numbers is the Tigres FC attack, which scores 43% fewer goals than an average team. Next comes the Quindio defence, which lets in 23% fewer goals than an average team. It expects 1.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 29% chance, and both teams scoring, 38%.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
Tigres FC
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- Tigres FC attack−43%
- Quindio defence−23%
Expected goals0.66
Quindio
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Quindio attack−20%
- Tigres FC defence−22%
Expected goals0.85
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals77%
- Over 1.5 goals45%
- Over 2.5 goals29%
- Over 3.5 goals7%
- Over 4.5 goals2%
- Both teams score38%
- Tigres FC or draw65%
- Draw or Quindio71%
- No draw64%
Saved before kickoff, on (UTC). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.