Probably Football

Matches

Primera B (Colombia)

Wednesday 28 October, 20:05

Final score

Quindio2-0Real Cundinamarca

The model's most likely result happened: a Quindio win (38%).

Quindio vs Real Cundinamarca

  1. Quindio38%
  2. Draw32%
  3. Real Cundinamarca30%

0.96 expected goals for Quindio

0.96 expected goals for Real Cundinamarca

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 38%. It expects 1.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 35% chance, and both teams scoring, 43%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals85%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals58%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals35%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals13%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals5%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 28 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.