Enisey vs Nizhny Novgorod
- Enisey13%
- Draw13%
- Nizhny Novgorod74%
0.97 expected goals for Enisey
2.70 expected goals for Nizhny Novgorod
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
In short
The model makes Nizhny Novgorod the clear favourite: 74% to win. The biggest factor in these numbers is the Nizhny Novgorod attack, which scores 85% more goals than an average team. Next comes the Nizhny Novgorod defence, which lets in 27% fewer goals than an average team. It expects 3.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 61% chance, and both teams scoring, 49%.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
Enisey
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- Enisey attack−12%
- Nizhny Novgorod defence−27%
Expected goals0.97
Nizhny Novgorod
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Nizhny Novgorod attack+85%
- Enisey defence+7%
Expected goals2.70
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals97%
- Over 1.5 goals88%
- Over 2.5 goals61%
- Over 3.5 goals50%
- Over 4.5 goals31%
- Both teams score49%
- Enisey or draw26%
- Draw or Nizhny Novgorod87%
- No draw87%
Saved before kickoff, on (UTC). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.