Leningradets vs Ska-khabarovsk
- Leningradets27%
- Draw26%
- Ska-khabarovsk47%
1.11 expected goals for Leningradets
1.59 expected goals for Ska-khabarovsk
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
In short
Ska-khabarovsk has the edge (47%), but not by much: a draw is at 26% and a Leningradets win at 27%. The biggest factor in these numbers is the Leningradets attack, which scores 28% fewer goals than an average team. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance, and both teams scoring, 48%.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
Leningradets
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- Leningradets attack−28%
- Ska-khabarovsk defence+2%
Expected goals1.11
Ska-khabarovsk
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Ska-khabarovsk attack+5%
- Leningradets defence+11%
Expected goals1.60
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals93%
- Over 1.5 goals76%
- Over 2.5 goals48%
- Over 3.5 goals29%
- Over 4.5 goals14%
- Both teams score48%
- Leningradets or draw53%
- Draw or Ska-khabarovsk74%
- No draw74%
Saved before kickoff, on (UTC). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.