Sunday 25 October, 17:30
Final score
Club Nacional0-1Liverpool Montevideo
The model gave this result 33%. Its most likely result was a Club Nacional win (38%).
Club Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo
- Club Nacional38%
- Draw29%
- Liverpool Montevideo33%
1.35 expected goals for Club Nacional
1.20 expected goals for Liverpool Montevideo
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 38%. It expects 2.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 44% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals73%It did not happen
- Over 2.5 goals44%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals25%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals12%It did not happen
- Both teams score51%
- Club Nacional or draw67%
- Draw or Liverpool Montevideo62%
- No draw71%
Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.