Probably Football

Matches

Primera División (Uruguay)

Sunday 25 October, 11:00

Final score

Atletico Torque3-1Cerro

The model's most likely result happened: a Atletico Torque win (59%).

Atletico Torque vs Cerro

  1. Atletico Torque59%
  2. Draw24%
  3. Cerro17%

2.02 expected goals for Atletico Torque

0.77 expected goals for Cerro

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Atletico Torque the clear favourite: 59% to win. It expects 2.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 47% chance, and both teams scoring, 49%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals77%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals47%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals31%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals15%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.