Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio

Deportivo Maldonado49%
Draw30%
Danubio21%

1.37 expected goals for Deportivo Maldonado

0.68 expected goals for Danubio

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Deportivo Maldonado has the edge (49%), but not by much: a draw is at 30% and a Danubio win at 21%. It expects 2.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 40% chance, and both teams scoring, 46%.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals87%It happened
Over 1.5 goals61%It happened
Over 2.5 goals40%It happened
Over 3.5 goals15%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals6%It did not happen

Both teams score46%
Deportivo Maldonado or draw79%
Draw or Danubio51%
No draw70%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.