Probably Football

Matches

Primera División (Uruguay)

Saturday 24 October, 14:00

Final score

Juventud0-0Penarol

The model gave this result 29%. Its most likely result was a Penarol win (46%).

Juventud vs Penarol

  1. Juventud25%
  2. Draw29%
  3. Penarol46%

0.84 expected goals for Juventud

1.35 expected goals for Penarol

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Penarol has the edge (46%), but not by much: a draw is at 29% and a Juventud win at 25%. It expects 2.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 40% chance, and both teams scoring, 48%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals88%It did not happen
  2. Over 1.5 goals65%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals40%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals18%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals7%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.