Probably Football

Matches

Primera División (Uruguay)

Saturday 24 October, 08:00

Final score

Central Espanol1-3Albion FC

The model's most likely result happened: a Albion FC win (38%).

Central Espanol vs Albion FC

  1. Central Espanol33%
  2. Draw29%
  3. Albion FC38%

1.18 expected goals for Central Espanol

1.32 expected goals for Albion FC

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 38%. It expects 2.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 43% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals91%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals72%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals43%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals24%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals11%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.