Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá

Nacional Potosí63%
Draw21%
Guabirá16%

1.99 expected goals for Nacional Potosí

1.22 expected goals for Guabirá

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Nacional Potosí the clear favourite: 63% to win. It expects 3.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 60% chance, and both teams scoring, 56%. And about 9.7 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
Over 1.5 goals84%It happened
Over 2.5 goals60%It happened
Over 3.5 goals40%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals22%It did not happen

Both teams score56%
Nacional Potosí or draw84%
Draw or Guabirá37%
No draw79%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.7 expected

5.4 for Nacional Potosí and 4.3 for Guabirá

Over 8.5 corners59%
Over 9.5 corners49%
Over 10.5 corners39%

Cards

4.4 expected

2.1 for Nacional Potosí and 2.3 for Guabirá

Over 3.5 cards64%
Over 4.5 cards45%
Over 5.5 cards28%

Shots

26.3 expected

13.9 for Nacional Potosí and 12.4 for Guabirá

Over 20.5 shots79%
Over 22.5 shots69%
Over 24.5 shots58%

Fouls

19.7 expected

10.1 for Nacional Potosí and 9.6 for Guabirá

Over 20.5 fouls41%
Over 22.5 fouls27%
Over 24.5 fouls16%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.