Aurora vs Real Tomayapo

Aurora57%
Draw25%
Real Tomayapo18%

1.50 expected goals for Aurora

0.97 expected goals for Real Tomayapo

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Aurora the clear favourite: 57% to win. It expects 2.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 51% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 10.6 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals91%It happened
Over 1.5 goals71%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals51%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals24%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals10%It did not happen

Both teams score52%
Aurora or draw83%
Draw or Real Tomayapo43%
No draw75%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.6 expected

7.0 for Aurora and 3.6 for Real Tomayapo

Over 8.5 corners67%
Over 9.5 corners57%
Over 10.5 corners47%

Cards

4.9 expected

1.9 for Aurora and 3.0 for Real Tomayapo

Over 3.5 cards72%
Over 4.5 cards54%
Over 5.5 cards36%

Shots

33.7 expected

21.9 for Aurora and 11.8 for Real Tomayapo

Over 20.5 shots95%
Over 22.5 shots91%
Over 24.5 shots85%

Fouls

27.0 expected

12.8 for Aurora and 14.2 for Real Tomayapo

Over 20.5 fouls88%
Over 22.5 fouls78%
Over 24.5 fouls66%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.