Probably Football

Matches

Serie C (Brazil)

Saturday 24 October, 15:00

Final score

Ferroviária1-2Maringá

The model gave this result 24%. Its most likely result was a Ferroviária win (45%).

Ferroviária vs Maringá

  1. Ferroviária45%
  2. Draw31%
  3. Maringá24%

1.40 expected goals for Ferroviária

1.22 expected goals for Maringá

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Ferroviária has the edge (45%), but not by much: a draw is at 31% and a Maringá win at 24%. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 42% chance, and both teams scoring, 49%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals74%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals42%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals27%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals13%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.