Probably Football

Matches

Segunda División (Peru)

Friday 23 October, 15:00

Final score

Deportivo Binacional1-2Santos

The model's most likely result happened: a Santos win (67%).

Deportivo Binacional vs Santos

  1. Deportivo Binacional23%
  2. Draw10%
  3. Santos67%

1.10 expected goals for Deportivo Binacional

2.93 expected goals for Santos

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Santos the clear favourite: 67% to win. It expects 4.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 63% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals91%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals63%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals57%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals38%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 23 October at 07:08 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.