U. San Martin vs Carlos A. Mannucci

U. San Martin31%
Draw23%
Carlos A. Mannucci46%

1.25 expected goals for U. San Martin

2.00 expected goals for Carlos A. Mannucci

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Carlos A. Mannucci has the edge (46%), but not by much: a draw is at 23% and a U. San Martin win at 31%. It expects 3.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
Over 1.5 goals84%It happened
Over 2.5 goals56%It happened
Over 3.5 goals41%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals23%It did not happen

Both teams score54%
U. San Martin or draw54%
Draw or Carlos A. Mannucci69%
No draw77%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.